{"id":4367,"date":"2020-03-15T01:10:28","date_gmt":"2020-03-14T22:10:28","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/lekolin.org\/musul-opesyonu-guc-dengeleri-ve-savasan-guclerin-analizi-2\/"},"modified":"2020-03-15T01:10:28","modified_gmt":"2020-03-14T22:10:28","slug":"musul-opesyonu-guc-dengeleri-ve-savasan-guclerin-analizi-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lekolin.org\/ku\/musul-opesyonu-guc-dengeleri-ve-savasan-guclerin-analizi-2\/","title":{"rendered":"MUSUL OPESYONU, G\u00dc\u00c7 DENGELER\u0130 ve SAVA\u015eAN G\u00dc\u00c7LER\u0130N ANAL\u0130Z\u0130-2-"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>08 Nisan 2016 Cuma Saat 10:44<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<div class=\"detail content_14\" id=\"text_detail\">\n<div class=\"newsImage\">\n<b>T\u00fcrk devleti ve \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n olu\u015fturduklar\u0131 paramiliter g\u00fc\u00e7lerin operasyona d\u00e2hil olmak istemeleri, operasyonun gecikmesine ve ileride daha b\u00fcy\u00fck sorunlar\u0131n \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131na zemin haz\u0131rlamaktad\u0131r. Ayn\u0131 zaman da KDP\u2019nin Musul\u2019da s\u00f6z sahibi olmak istemesi e\u011fer bu olmasa Irak ordusu ve YB\u015e g\u00fc\u00e7lerinin operasyonu ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 bir \u015fekilde y\u00fcr\u00fctmelerine engel olmas\u0131 da t\u0131kan\u0131kl\u0131\u011fa neden olan sebeplerden bir tanesidir<\/b><\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/lekolin.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/4351-1.jpg\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n<p><strong>Operasyona Kat\u0131lan ve Kat\u0131lmas\u0131 Tart\u0131\u015f\u0131lan G\u00fc\u00e7lerin Durumu<\/p>\n<p><\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\" \">Her ne kadar operasyonun koordineli bir \u015fekilde birka\u00e7 g\u00fc\u00e7<br \/>\ntaraf\u0131ndan yap\u0131laca\u011f\u0131 tart\u0131\u015f\u0131lsa da, sahada \u00f6nc\u00fcl\u00fck edecek olan g\u00fcc\u00fcn Irak<br \/>\nMerkezi H\u00fck\u00fcmetine ba\u011fl\u0131 olan askeri g\u00fcc\u00fcn olaca\u011f\u0131 kesindir. T\u00fcrk devleti ve<br \/>\n\u0130ran\u2019\u0131n olu\u015fturduklar\u0131 paramiliter g\u00fc\u00e7lerin operasyona d\u00e2hil olmak istemeleri,<br \/>\noperasyonun gecikmesine ve ileride daha b\u00fcy\u00fck sorunlar\u0131n \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131na zemin<br \/>\nhaz\u0131rlamaktad\u0131r. Ayn\u0131 zaman da KDP\u2019nin Musul\u2019da s\u00f6z sahibi olmak istemesi e\u011fer<br \/>\nbu olmasa Irak ordusu ve YB\u015e g\u00fc\u00e7lerinin operasyonu ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 bir \u015fekilde<br \/>\ny\u00fcr\u00fctmelerine engel olmas\u0131 da t\u0131kan\u0131kl\u0131\u011fa neden olan sebeplerden bir tanesidir.<br \/>\nYine Musul\u2019un kurtar\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 ilkeli bir \u015fekilde isteyip ona g\u00f6re davranan ve<br \/>\noperasyonlar y\u00fcr\u00fcten g\u00fc\u00e7 YB\u015e g\u00fc\u00e7leridir.<\/p>\n<p class=\" \">Operasyonda yer alacak olan en b\u00fcy\u00fck g\u00fc\u00e7 Irak Ordusudur.<br \/>\nIrak ordusunun ka\u00e7 bin askerle operasyona kat\u0131laca\u011f\u0131 net de\u011filken, \u00f6nemli<br \/>\ncephelerde ve Musul kent merkezini kurtar\u0131lmas\u0131nda \u00f6nc\u00fc rol \u00fcstlenece\u011fi<br \/>\nortadad\u0131r. Ama ordunun zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 DA\u0130\u015e kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda olan yenilgilerinin etkisi,<br \/>\nordunun zor durumda kalaca\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor. <\/p>\n<p class=\" \">KDP hali haz\u0131rda operasyona destek verece\u011fini ve Musul kent<br \/>\nmerkezi d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda kalan b\u00f6lgelerde sava\u015fa aktif bir \u015fekilde kat\u0131laca\u011f\u0131n\u0131<br \/>\na\u00e7\u0131klamaktad\u0131r. KDP\u2019nin bu sava\u015ftaki g\u00f6r\u00fcnen amac\u0131, Musul baraj\u0131n\u0131 tam olarak<br \/>\nelinde tutmak ve ikinci en b\u00fcy\u00fck amac\u0131 da YB\u015e g\u00fc\u00e7lerinin ayn\u0131 zamanda olas\u0131 bir<br \/>\ndurumda PKK\u2019nin askeri g\u00fcc\u00fc olan HPG\u2019nin sava\u015fa kat\u0131lmas\u0131 durumunda bunu<br \/>\nengellemektir. KDP YB\u015e ve HPG\u2019nin sava\u015fa kat\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 engellemek i\u00e7in T\u00fcrk<br \/>\naskerini kullanmak amac\u0131ndad\u0131r. \u0130ddialara g\u00f6re KDP Ba\u015fika b\u00f6lgesinde bulunan<br \/>\n1500 T\u00fcrk devleti askerini Tel Afer-\u015eengal hatt\u0131na kayd\u0131rarak YB\u015e ve HPG\u2019nin bu<br \/>\nalanlarda ilerlemesini durdurmak istemektedir. Di\u011fer \u00f6nemli cephelerden olan<br \/>\nMaxmur cephesinde de T\u00fcrk devletiyle beraber destekledi\u011fi Ha\u015fdi Watani<br \/>\nmilislerinin yoluyla zorluk \u00e7\u0131karmak amac\u0131ndad\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p class=\" \">Operasyona kat\u0131lacak olan kesimler \u00fczerine tart\u0131\u015fmalar<br \/>\ny\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fcl\u00fcp toplant\u0131lar yap\u0131l\u0131rken, kendi cephesinde operasyon ba\u015flatan ve aktif<br \/>\nbir \u015fekilde sava\u015f\u0131 y\u00fcr\u00fcten ve operasyon ba\u015flatt\u0131\u011f\u0131 b\u00f6lgelerde sonu\u00e7 alan en<br \/>\ndinamik g\u00fc\u00e7te YB\u015e\u2019dir. Musul\u2019un bat\u0131 cephesine operasyon ba\u015flatan YB\u015e g\u00fcnl\u00fck<br \/>\ngibi k\u0131sa bir s\u00fcrede 20 km uzunlu\u011funda 10 km geni\u015fli\u011finde bir alan\u0131<br \/>\n\u00f6zg\u00fcrle\u015ftirmi\u015f y\u00fczlerce \u00e7eteyi \u00f6ld\u00fcrm\u00fc\u015f en \u00f6nemlisi de KDP\u2019nin b\u00fct\u00fcn<br \/>\nengellemelerine ra\u011fmen 47. Yolun g\u00fcvenli\u011fini sa\u011flam\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p class=\" \">47. yol stratejik bir \u00f6neme sahiptir. DA\u0130\u015e\u2019in Irak merkezi<br \/>\nMusul ile Suriye merkezi Rakka aras\u0131ndaki bir k\u00f6pr\u00fcd\u00fcr 47. yol. YB\u015e 47. Yolun<br \/>\ndenetimini sa\u011flad\u0131ktan sonra KDP yetkililerinin hedefi haline geldi. Burada<br \/>\nsorulacak bir s\u00fcr\u00fc soru ve kafalarda kalan bir y\u0131\u011f\u0131n soru i\u015fareti oldu. Global<br \/>\n\u00e7ete \u00f6rg\u00fct DA\u0130\u015e\u2019in denetiminde olan yol YB\u015e g\u00fc\u00e7leri taraf\u0131ndan b\u00fcy\u00fck bir<br \/>\nkahramanl\u0131kla temizlenip DA\u0130\u015e\u2019e b\u00fcy\u00fck bir darbe vurulurken, KDP yetkilileri<br \/>\nkalk\u0131p YB\u015e\u2019nin bu operasyonunu ele\u015ftiriyorlar.<\/p>\n<p class=\" \">Operasyona kat\u0131laca\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclen Ha\u015fdi Watani g\u00fc\u00e7leri T\u00fcrk<br \/>\naskerlerinin de konumland\u0131\u011f\u0131 Ba\u015fika b\u00f6lgesinde ve Maxmur cephesinde<br \/>\nbulunuyorlar.<\/p>\n<p class=\" \">Ba\u015flat\u0131lan ancak k\u0131sa bir s\u00fcre sonra durdurulan operasyonda<br \/>\nyer ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 dile getirilen Ha\u015fdi Watani sonradan ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131 ki Maxmur<br \/>\ncephesinde operasyona kat\u0131lmam\u0131\u015f. Maxmur cephesinde yakla\u015f\u0131k 1 ay \u00f6nce Kermird\u00ea<br \/>\nve Kudil\u00ea k\u00f6ylerine bir operasyon d\u00fczenlenmi\u015fti. Ha\u015fdi Watani bu operasyonda bu<br \/>\niki k\u00f6y\u00fc DA\u0130\u015e\u2019ten temizlemi\u015f ancak ikinci g\u00fcn\u00fcn gecesinde DA\u0130\u015e\u2019in sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131<br \/>\nsonucu onlarca \u00f6l\u00fc ve yaral\u0131 vererek k\u00f6yleri terk etmek zorunda kalm\u0131\u015flard\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p class=\" \">Ha\u015fdi Watani ABD, KDP ve T\u00fcrkiye taraf\u0131ndan destekleniyor.<br \/>\nBas\u0131nda da \u00e7\u0131kan haberlere g\u00f6re bir k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131n maa\u015f\u0131 T\u00fcrk devleti taraf\u0131ndan<br \/>\nveriliyor. Buradan da anlayaca\u011f\u0131m\u0131z \u00fczere e\u011fer KDP ve T\u00fcrk devleti operasyonla<br \/>\nMusul kentine girmeseler de fiili olarak orada olacaklard\u0131r. Nuceyfiler<br \/>\n\u00fczerinden \u00f6rg\u00fctledikleri Ha\u015fdi Watani KDP ve T\u00fcrk devletinin ajan g\u00fcc\u00fc<br \/>\nkonumundad\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p class=\" \">DA\u0130\u015e\u2019in Musul\u2019a sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131ndan sonra bu g\u00fcne kadar s\u00fcrekli<br \/>\ng\u00fcndemde olan ve tart\u0131\u015fmalara en \u00e7ok konu olan \u00f6nemli g\u00fc\u00e7lerden bir tanesi de<br \/>\nHa\u015fdi \u015eabi g\u00fc\u00e7leridir. Ha\u015fdi \u015eabi g\u00fc\u00e7leri \u015eiilerden olu\u015fan say\u0131lar\u0131 100 bini<br \/>\nbulan b\u00fcy\u00fck bir milis \u00f6rg\u00fctlemesi olarak biliniyor. Ter\u00f6r \u00f6rg\u00fct\u00fc DA\u0130\u015e&#8217;in 10<br \/>\nHaziran 2014&#8217;de Irak&#8217;\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck kentlerinden Musul&#8217;u ele ge\u00e7irmesinin<br \/>\nard\u0131ndan, dini lideri Ayetullah Ali es-Sistani, Ha\u015fdi \u015eabi&#8217;nin kurulmas\u0131<br \/>\n\u00e7a\u011fr\u0131s\u0131nda bulunmu\u015ftu. Y\u00fczbinlerce \u015eii Ha\u015fdi \u015eabi\u2019ye kat\u0131l\u0131p cephede sava\u015fmak<br \/>\ni\u00e7in kabul merkezlerine ba\u015fvurmu\u015ftu. Ha\u015fdi \u015eabi Irak ordusu ile DA\u0130\u015e\u2019e kar\u015f\u0131 operasyon<br \/>\nyapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 b\u00f6lgeleri talan etmi\u015f ve buda tepkilere neden olmu\u015ftur. Bir s\u00fcre \u00f6nce<br \/>\nHa\u015fdi \u015eabi\u2019nin Musul operasyonuna kat\u0131laca\u011f\u0131na kesin g\u00f6z\u00fcyle bak\u0131l\u0131rken, son<br \/>\nyap\u0131lan tart\u0131\u015fmalar kat\u0131lmayaca\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde a\u011f\u0131r basmaktad\u0131r. Ha\u015fdi \u015eabi \u0130ran<br \/>\ndevletinin denetimindedir. Buda, Musul operasyonuna kat\u0131lmas\u0131na engel olan<br \/>\nnedenlerden bir tanesidir. Ha\u015fdi \u015eabi\u2019nin Musul operasyonuna kat\u0131l\u0131p sonras\u0131nda<br \/>\nMusul\u2019da s\u00f6z sahibi olmas\u0131 \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n Musul\u2019da s\u00f6z sahibi olmas\u0131 anlam\u0131na geliyor.<br \/>\nHal b\u00f6yle olunca S\u00fcnni ittifak Ha\u015fdi \u015eabi\u2019nin Musul operasyonuna kat\u0131lmas\u0131na<br \/>\nkar\u015f\u0131 \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p class=\" \">\u0130leride \u00e7\u0131kar \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n\u0131n ne d\u00fczeyde olaca\u011f\u0131 ve<br \/>\ndengelerin nas\u0131l oturaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u015fimdiden g\u00f6rmek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olabilir. Irak ve Suriye\u2019de<br \/>\n\u00e7at\u0131\u015fma halinde olan ve bazen de \u00e7\u0131karlar temelinde ortak zeminde hareket eden<br \/>\nS\u00fcnni ve \u015eii blokun Suriye\u2019de derinle\u015fen \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 Musul \u00fczerinden daha da<br \/>\nderinle\u015fecektir.<\/p>\n<p class=\" \">\u015euan y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fclen sava\u015fa koalisyon g\u00fc\u00e7leri b\u00fcy\u00fck destek<br \/>\nsunarken dengelere g\u00f6re hangi g\u00fcc\u00fcn (Irak, Suriye, DA\u0130\u015e, Pe\u015fmerge, YB\u015e) nerede,<br \/>\nne zaman ilerlemesi gerekti\u011finin hesab\u0131n\u0131 da \u00e7ok iyi yapmaktad\u0131rlar. Planlar\u0131<br \/>\nher zaman ba\u015far\u0131ya ula\u015fmasa da kendi \u00e7\u0131kar ili\u015fkilerine g\u00f6re b\u00f6lge g\u00fc\u00e7lerini<br \/>\ndengeleyip ona g\u00f6re her kesimi y\u00f6nlendirme ve kullanma amac\u0131 g\u00fcd\u00fcyorlar. Bu<br \/>\ng\u00fc\u00e7lerin kendilerini sadece Koalisyon g\u00fc\u00e7lerine g\u00f6re ayarlamalar\u0131 ve<br \/>\nplanlamalar\u0131 uzun vadeli bir ba\u015far\u0131n\u0131n olmayaca\u011f\u0131na katk\u0131 sunarlar. Sonu\u00e7 al\u0131c\u0131<br \/>\nbir operasyon ve ba\u015far\u0131n\u0131n olabilmesi i\u00e7in DA\u0130\u015e\u2019e kar\u015f\u0131 kimlerin ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131<br \/>\nolabilecekleri tespitinin yap\u0131lmas\u0131 gerekiyor. Bu konuda kendini ispat etmi\u015f ve<br \/>\nsonu\u00e7 alm\u0131\u015f g\u00fc\u00e7lerin kimler oldu\u011fu da herkes taraf\u0131ndan bilinen bir<br \/>\nger\u00e7ekliktir.<\/p>\n<p class=\" \">\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\" \"><strong>Aram Serhat<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\" \"><strong>K\u00fcrdistan Stratejik<br \/>\nAra\u015ft\u0131rmalar Merkezi<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\" \"><strong>www.lekolin.com &#8211;<br \/>\nwww.lekolin.org &#8211; www.lekolin.net \u2013 www.lekolin.info &#8211; www.navendalekolin.com<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>  0<\/p>\n<p>  21<\/p>\n<p>  TR<\/p>\n<p>\t  :&#8221; &#8221; <\/p>\n<p>\t :&#8221;&#8221; <\/p>\n<p>\t &#8221; &#8220;,&#8221; &#8221; <\/p>\n<p>\t :&#8221; &#8221; <\/p>\n<p>\t<!-- parveke begin --><\/p>\n<div>\n<div class=\"sharethis-inline-share-buttons\"><\/div>\n<p><!-- parveke END -->\n<\/div><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p><b>T\u00fcrk devleti ve \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n olu\u015fturduklar\u0131 paramiliter g\u00fc\u00e7lerin operasyona d\u00e2hil olmak istemeleri, operasyonun gecikmesine ve ileride daha b\u00fcy\u00fck sorunlar\u0131n \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131na zemin haz\u0131rlamaktad\u0131r. Ayn\u0131 zaman da KDP\u2019nin Musul\u2019da s\u00f6z sahibi olmak istemesi e\u011fer bu olmasa Irak ordusu ve YB\u015e g\u00fc\u00e7lerinin operasyonu ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 bir \u015fekilde y\u00fcr\u00fctmelerine engel olmas\u0131 da t\u0131kan\u0131kl\u0131\u011fa neden olan sebeplerden bir tanesidir<\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":4368,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"jnews-multi-image_gallery":[],"jnews_single_post":[],"jnews_primary_category":[],"jnews_social_meta":[],"jnews_override_counter":[],"jnews_post_split":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[704,32,540,701,675,31,36,33,30,295,700,702,35,34,80],"class_list":["post-4367","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-politik-analiz","tag-analizi-2","tag-arastirma","tag-dengeleri","tag-guc","tag-guclerin","tag-kurdi","tag-kurdish","tag-kurdistan","tag-lekolin","tag-musul","tag-opesyonu","tag-savasan","tag-turkish","tag-turkiye","tag-ve"],"acf":[],"post_mailing_queue_ids":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lekolin.org\/ku\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4367","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lekolin.org\/ku\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lekolin.org\/ku\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lekolin.org\/ku\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lekolin.org\/ku\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4367"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/lekolin.org\/ku\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4367\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lekolin.org\/ku\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/4368"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lekolin.org\/ku\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4367"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lekolin.org\/ku\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4367"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lekolin.org\/ku\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4367"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}