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IRAK DAVUTO\u011eLU\u2019NU D\u0130NLERSE MUSUL\u2019U K\u0130M KURTARACAK<\/font><\/strong><\/p>\n Irak Davuto\u011flu\u2019nu dinlerse Musul\u2019u kim kurtaracakIrak h\u00fck\u00fcmeti Davuto\u011flu\u2019nu dinleyip G\u00f6n\u00fcll\u00fc Halk G\u00fc\u00e7leri\u2019ni g\u00f6ndermezse, Musul\u2019u Uluslararas\u0131 Koalisyon, T\u00fcrkiye, Suudi Arabistan, Nuceyfi ailesi ve K\u00fcrdistan B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nin kurtarmas\u0131 gerekecek.<\/font><\/p>\n Devlet kontrol\u00fcnden \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131lan kentlerin Irak merkezi h\u00fck\u00fcmeti taraf\u0131ndan yeniden kontrol alt\u0131na al\u0131nmas\u0131, Ankara ve m\u00fcttefiklerinde kayg\u0131 yarat\u0131yor.<\/font><\/p>\n Suudi Arabistan, \u201c\u0130ran, Irak\u2019\u0131 ele ge\u00e7iriyor diyerek Ankara ise Irak kentlerini i\u015fgal eden I\u015e\u0130D\u2019le bu kentleri yeniden devlet kontrol\u00fcne kazand\u0131rmak i\u00e7in orduya destek veren \u201c\u015eii milisleri ayn\u0131 d\u00fczeyde tehdit g\u00f6rerek duydu\u011fu kayg\u0131y\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131kl\u0131yor.<\/font><\/p>\n Bununla birlikte Ankara ile m\u00fcttefiklerinin kayg\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n I\u015e\u0130D i\u015fgalinin sona ermesinden de\u011fil, bu i\u015fgalin Irak\u2019ta yeni bir d\u00fczen kurulmas\u0131 i\u00e7in yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 f\u0131rsatlar\u0131n heba olmas\u0131ndan kaynakland\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131k.<\/font><\/p>\n 2014 haziran\u0131ndaki I\u015e\u0130D i\u015fgalleri, Ankara ve m\u00fcttefikleri i\u00e7in \u015fu f\u0131rsatlar\u0131 yaratm\u0131\u015ft\u0131:<\/font><\/p>\n 1- ABD, 175 bin askerle i\u015fgal etmesine ra\u011fmen tek bir \u00fcs bile elde edemeden \u00e7ekildi\u011fi Irak\u2019a \u2018kurtar\u0131c\u0131 olarak\u2019 d\u00f6nme f\u0131rsat\u0131 elde etti.<\/font><\/p>\n 2- Irakl\u0131 baz\u0131 S\u00fcnni akt\u00f6rler 7 Mart 2010 se\u00e7imlerinde Allavi ba\u015fbakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131nda bir h\u00fck\u00fcmet kurmay\u0131 ba\u015faramay\u0131nca T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin deste\u011fi[3] ile 2011\u2019den itibaren S\u00fcnni federal b\u00f6lge talep etmeye ba\u015flad\u0131, 2012\u2019de ise bu talebi \u2018Irak Bahar\u0131\u2019na d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcrmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Haziran 2014\u2019te olu\u015fan fiili durum, ise Irakl\u0131 S\u00fcnnilere federal b\u00f6lge f\u0131rsat\u0131 sundu.<\/font><\/p>\n 3- K\u00fcrdistan B\u00f6lgesi, Irak ordusunun \u00e7ekildi\u011fi \u2018tart\u0131\u015fmal\u0131 b\u00f6lgeleri\u2019 ilhak etme ve kurulacak S\u00fcnni federal b\u00f6lge sayesinde ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131k s\u00fcrecini h\u0131zland\u0131rma f\u0131rsat\u0131 elde etti.<\/font><\/p>\n 4- Irak politikalar\u0131n\u0131 \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n n\u00fcfuzunu k\u0131rma stratejisi \u00fczerine kuran ba\u015fta K\u00f6rfez krall\u0131klar\u0131 ve Ankara, tayin edici olamad\u0131klar\u0131 Irak merkezi h\u00fck\u00fcmetini \u00e7al\u0131\u015famaz hale getirme f\u0131rsat\u0131 yakalad\u0131.<\/font><\/p>\n Kurtar\u0131lm\u0131\u015f B\u00f6lge Stratejisi Ve Irak<\/font><\/strong><\/p>\n Libya ve Suriye\u2019de devrim hedefiyle desteklenen \u2018Kurtar\u0131lm\u0131\u015f B\u00f6lge Stratejisi\u2019nin Irak\u2019taki hedefi, merkezi h\u00fck\u00fcmeti zay\u0131flatan ve uluslararas\u0131 ve b\u00f6lgesel g\u00fc\u00e7lerin m\u00fcdahil rol\u00fcn\u00fc artt\u0131ran bir d\u00fczen kurmakt\u0131.<\/font><\/p>\n \u0130\u015fte bu sebeple ABD, haziranda I\u015e\u0130D\u2019e de\u011fil, Irak Ba\u015fbakan\u0131 Maliki\u2019ye \u00e7ekilme \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131s\u0131 yapt\u0131 ve Irak\u2019a yard\u0131m i\u00e7in Maliki\u2019nin \u00e7ekilmesini \u015fart ko\u015ftu.<\/font><\/p>\n Ankara, I\u015e\u0130D\u2019in i\u00e7inde \u201cT\u00fcrkmenlerin ciddi \u00e7o\u011funlukta oldu\u011funu vurgulad\u0131. Sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131\u201cd\u0131\u015flanm\u0131\u015f \u00f6fkeli S\u00fcnnilerin reaksiyonu olarak niteledi ve ya\u015fananlardan Irak Ba\u015fbakan\u0131 Maliki\u2019yi sorumlu tuttu.<\/font><\/p>\n Anadolu Ajans\u0131 I\u015e\u0130D kontrol\u00fcndeki \u201cMusul\u2019un en g\u00fczel g\u00fcnlerini ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirterek Ankara\u2019n\u0131n resmi tutumuyla I\u015e\u0130D\u2019den \u2018devrimciler\u2019, Irak ordusundan ise \u2018Maliki g\u00fc\u00e7leri\u2019 diye s\u00f6z eden el-Arabiya ise K\u00f6rfez\u2019in resmi tutumuyla uyumlu bir enformasyon ak\u0131\u015f\u0131 sa\u011flad\u0131.<\/font><\/p>\n Ankara\u2019n\u0131n en yak\u0131n Irakl\u0131 m\u00fcttefiki Tar\u0131k Ha\u015fimi[9] ve orta\u011f\u0131 Katar\u2019\u0131n m\u00fcft\u00fcs\u00fc Yusuf el-Karadavi Irak kentlerinin d\u00fc\u015fmesini, yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 federal b\u00f6lge f\u0131rsat\u0131ndan dolay\u0131 \u201cS\u00fcnni devrimi olarak selamlad\u0131.<\/font><\/p>\n KDP Siyasi B\u00fcro Yetkilisi Kemal Kerk\u00fcki\u2019nin K\u00fcrdistan B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nin ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131na destek verdi\u011fini s\u00f6yledi\u011fi \u2018baz\u0131 Arap ba\u015fkentleri\u2019 muhtemelen bunu S\u00fcnni federal b\u00f6lge ile birlikte d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyordu.<\/font><\/p>\n \u0130srail ise par\u00e7alanmas\u0131n\u0131 ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc Irak\u2019a do\u011frudan m\u00fcdahil olabilece\u011fi bir alan a\u00e7abilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc i\u00e7in Amerika\u2019ya K\u00fcrdistan B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nin ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 desteklemesini tavsiye ediyordu.<\/font><\/p>\n Hilafetin Kurban\u0131 S\u00fcnni B\u00f6lge<\/font><\/strong><\/p>\n Ancak Ankara\u2019n\u0131n \u201c\u00f6fkeli S\u00fcnnilerinin S\u00fcnni federal b\u00f6lgeyle de\u011fil Halifelikle ilgilenmesi ve \u00dcrd\u00fcn ile Suudi Arabistan\u2019\u0131 dolayl\u0131, K\u00fcrdistan B\u00f6lgesi\u2019ni ise do\u011frudan tehdit etmesi \u015fartlar\u0131 k\u0131smen de\u011fi\u015ftirdi.<\/font><\/p>\n 14 Haziran\u2019da olu\u015fan f\u0131rsatlar\u0131 tehdit eden I\u015e\u0130D\u2019in hilafet ilan\u0131, 12 Eyl\u00fcl 2014\u2019te Uluslararas\u0131 Koalisyon\u2019un kurulmas\u0131na neden oldu.<\/font><\/p>\n Bununla birlikte Uluslararas\u0131 Koalisyon\u2019un ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Barack Obama taraf\u0131ndan belirlenen 4 maddelik stratejisi, Irak i\u00e7in \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclen ve Ba\u011fdat ile \u0130ran d\u0131\u015f\u0131ndaki herkes i\u00e7in f\u0131rsatlar yaratan yeni Irak d\u00fczeninden vazge\u00e7ilmedi\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor.<\/font><\/p>\n \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc bu strateji sadece \u201csistematik hava sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131, I\u015e\u0130D\u2019le m\u00fccadele eden g\u00fc\u00e7lere deste\u011fin artt\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131, I\u015e\u0130D\u2019in mali kaynaklar\u0131n\u0131n kesilmesi ve sald\u0131r\u0131lardan zarar g\u00f6ren b\u00f6lgelere insani yard\u0131m yap\u0131lmas\u0131 n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor.<\/font><\/p>\n \u0130\u015fgalden kurtar\u0131lacak kentlerin yeniden Ba\u011fdat\u2019a ba\u011flanmas\u0131na y\u00f6nelik a\u00e7\u0131k bir perspektif ta\u015f\u0131m\u0131yor.<\/font><\/p>\n Bir B\u00f6lgeyi Kurtaran Oraya Sahip Olur<\/font><\/strong><\/p>\n K\u00fcrdistan B\u00f6lgesi yetkililerinin Pe\u015fmerge\u2019nin sadece tart\u0131\u015fmal\u0131 b\u00f6lgelerden de\u011fil, kurtard\u0131\u011f\u0131 hi\u00e7bir yerden \u00e7ekilmeyece\u011fini a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131, \u2018bir b\u00f6lgeyi kurtaran ona sahip olur\u2019 \u015feklinde bir fiili durumun olu\u015ftu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor.<\/font><\/p>\n \u0130\u015fte Ankara ile Suudilerin Irak merkezi h\u00fck\u00fcmetinin T\u0131krit ve Musul operasyonlar\u0131na y\u00f6nelik kayg\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 k\u0131\u015fk\u0131rtan fakt\u00f6r bu.<\/font><\/p>\n Irak merkezi h\u00fck\u00fcmetinin Selahaddin ilinin kurtar\u0131lmas\u0131 i\u00e7in ba\u015flatt\u0131\u011f\u0131 operasyonda Uluslararas\u0131 Koalisyon\u2019un hava deste\u011fini reddetmesi ve harekata \u0130ranl\u0131 askeri dan\u0131\u015fmanlar\u0131n d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda ikinci bir g\u00fcc\u00fcn kat\u0131lmamas\u0131, i\u015fgalden kurtar\u0131ld\u0131ktan sonra bu kentin merkezi h\u00fck\u00fcmete ba\u011flanmas\u0131n\u0131 tart\u0131\u015fmas\u0131z k\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/font><\/p>\n Irak \u0130slami Y\u00fcksek Konseyi liderlerinden Muhsin el-Hekim T\u0131krit operasyonundaki \u0130ran rol\u00fc ile ilgili olarak \u015funlar\u0131 s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor.<\/font><\/p>\n \u201cMusul\u2019un d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fc 2014 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n haziran ay\u0131ndan bu yana \u0130ran, Irak ordusuna dan\u0131\u015fmanl\u0131k ve silah yard\u0131m\u0131 konusunda son derece olumlu bir rol oynad\u0131. \u015eii, S\u00fcnni, K\u00fcrt, A\u015furi ve di\u011fer toplumsal kesimlerin temsilcilerinin yer ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 Irak h\u00fck\u00fcmetinde t\u00fcm kesimler bu rol\u00fc \u00e7ok olumlu kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131yorlar.<\/font><\/p>\n Hatta \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n askeri dan\u0131\u015fmanlar\u0131n\u0131n rol\u00fcn\u00fcn \u00e7ok belirgin oldu\u011fu Selahaddin ili operasyonunda da bu g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n bu g\u00fc\u00e7lerinin halktan b\u00fcy\u00fck destek g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne tan\u0131k oluyoruz. Operasyonlara kentleri I\u015e\u0130D\u2019in i\u015fgali alt\u0131nda bulunan S\u00fcnni a\u015firetler de kat\u0131l\u0131yor. <\/font><\/p>\n El-Hekim, demecinde hava deste\u011fi konusunda Uluslararas\u0131 Koalisyon ile Irak h\u00fck\u00fcmeti aras\u0131nda deste\u011fin sadece talep \u00fczerine verilmesini \u00f6ng\u00f6ren bir anla\u015fma oldu\u011fundan s\u00f6z ediyor.<\/font><\/p>\n Ba\u015fka yerlerde Koalisyon\u2019dan destek isteyen Irak h\u00fck\u00fcmetinin T\u0131krit\u2019te bunu reddetmesinden Selahaddin ilinin Irak merkezi h\u00fck\u00fcmetine ba\u011flanacak \u015fekilde kurtar\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6ren harekat plan\u0131n\u0131n \u0130ranl\u0131lar\u0131n eseri oldu\u011fu anla\u015f\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/font><\/p>\n Irak\u2019ta S\u0131f\u0131r G\u00fc\u00e7 Sonsuz Heves<\/font><\/strong><\/p>\n Ankara, bu y\u00fczden Musul operasyonunun T\u0131krit gibi tamamen Irak merkezi h\u00fck\u00fcmetinin belirleyicili\u011finde yap\u0131lmas\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor ve \u201c\u015eii milislerin Musul\u2019a girmemesi gerekti\u011fini s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor.<\/font><\/p>\n Suudi Arabistan, Irak\u2019\u0131 ele ge\u00e7irmekle su\u00e7lad\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u0130ran\u2019a kar\u015f\u0131 S\u00fcnni blok kurmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. Davuto\u011flu, \u201cSe\u00e7ilmi\u015f Musul Valisi Nuceyfi bizim i\u00e7in hala Musul\u2019un valisidir” vurgusuyla Musul\u2019un Nuceyfi\u2019lerin kurdu\u011fu milis g\u00fcc\u00fcyle kurtar\u0131lmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini s\u00f6ylemeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor.<\/font><\/p>\n “\u015eii milisler gelmemeli, Musul\u2019da b\u00f6yle bir tehlike var. Buraya S\u00fcnni ulusal muhaf\u0131z g\u00fc\u00e7lerinin girmesi laz\u0131m \u201cBizim i\u00e7in DEA\u015e \u00e7\u0131k\u0131nca ne olacak sorusu \u00f6nemli. DEA\u015e\u2019\u0131n bo\u015faltt\u0131\u011f\u0131 yere Suriye rejimi girmemeli. Veya Irak\u2019ta \u015eii milisler girmemeli diyerek \u0130ran\u2019dan rol \u00e7almaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor.<\/font><\/p>\n Muhtemelen General Kas\u0131m S\u00fcleymani komutas\u0131ndaki Kud\u00fcs G\u00fcc\u00fc ile hem Irak\u2019ta hem de Suriye\u2019de sahayla do\u011frudan koordinasyon halinde bulunan \u0130ran\u2019\u0131 Nuceyfi\u2019lerin milisleriyle dengeleyebilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/font><\/p>\n Ancak \u0130ran, Irak\u2019ta general d\u00fczeyindeki askerlerini Irak\u2019ta kay\u0131p verirken, Davuto\u011flu \u201cMusul’un I\u015e\u0130D’den geri al\u0131nmas\u0131 i\u00e7in T\u00fcrkiye’nin destek verece\u011fini ancak s\u0131cak \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma i\u00e7inde olmayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6ylemekten geri de kalm\u0131yor.<\/font><\/p>\n \u201cS\u00fcmer \u015eii devleti <\/font><\/strong><\/p>\n T\u0131krit\u2019in I\u015e\u0130D\u2019den kurtar\u0131lmas\u0131 i\u00e7in ba\u015flat\u0131lan operasyonla ilgili en ilgin\u00e7 yorum ise \u00dcrd\u00fcn\u2019deki Irak Stratejik Ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar Merkezi\u2019nden Nizar Samerrai\u2019den geldi.<\/font><\/p>\n El-Cezire televizyonunda T\u0131krit operasyonunu de\u011ferlendiren Samerrai, \u201c\u00d6ncelikle Diyala operasyonundan sonra Selahaddin operasyonunun ger\u00e7ek hedefini anlamam\u0131z gerekir diyerek Kas\u0131m S\u00fcleymani\u2019nin bu operasyonlarla \u00fc\u00e7e b\u00f6l\u00fcnecek olan Irak\u2019\u0131n s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7izdi\u011fini \u00f6ne s\u00fcr\u00fcyor.<\/font><\/p>\n Samerrai\u2019ye g\u00f6re \u0130ran, Irak\u2019\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7e b\u00f6lmeyi hedefliyor ve s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131 T\u0131krit\u2019in g\u00fcneyindeki Samerra\u2019dan ba\u015flay\u0131p g\u00fcneyde Fav\u2019a kadar uzanacak olan tarihsel S\u00fcmer devletinin s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131n\u0131 \u015eii Irak devletinin s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131 olarak \u00e7iziyor.<\/font><\/p>\n Nizar Samerrai\u2019nin \u0130ran\u2019\u0131 su\u00e7lamak i\u00e7in s\u00f6z konusu etti\u011fi bu senaryo do\u011fruysa ve Irak h\u00fck\u00fcmeti Davuto\u011flu\u2019nu dinleyip G\u00f6n\u00fcll\u00fc Halk G\u00fc\u00e7leri\u2019ni g\u00f6ndermezse, Musul\u2019u Uluslararas\u0131 Koalisyon, T\u00fcrkiye, Suudi Arabistan, Nuceyfi ailesi ve K\u00fcrdistan B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nin kurtarmas\u0131 gerekecek.<\/font><\/p>\n Alptekin DURSUNO\u011eLU-YDH<\/font><\/p>\n K\u00fcrdistan Stratejik Ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar Merkezi<\/font><\/span><\/p>\n www.navendalekolin.com – www.lekolin.org – www.lekolin.net \u2013 www.lekolin.info<\/font><\/span><\/p>\n<\/p>\n \t<\/p>\n