{"id":3268,"date":"2020-03-15T00:50:46","date_gmt":"2020-03-14T21:50:46","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/lekolin.org\/kobane-direnisi-ve-turkiye-suriye-irak-ve-iranin-kaderi\/"},"modified":"2020-03-15T00:50:46","modified_gmt":"2020-03-14T21:50:46","slug":"kobane-direnisi-ve-turkiye-suriye-irak-ve-iranin-kaderi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lekolin.org\/ku\/kobane-direnisi-ve-turkiye-suriye-irak-ve-iranin-kaderi\/","title":{"rendered":"KOBAN\u00ca D\u0130REN\u0130\u015e\u0130 VE T\u00dcRK\u0130YE, SUR\u0130YE, IRAK VE \u0130RAN\u2019IN KADER\u0130"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>29 Eyl\u00fcl 2014 Pazartesi Saat 06:37<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<div class=\"detail content_14\" id=\"text_detail\">\n<div class=\"newsImage\">\n<b>  <\/b><\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/lekolin.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/3743-1.jpg\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n<p>Uluslar aras\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lerin kendi dar siyasi ama\u00e7lar\u0131 i\u00e7in zemin<br \/>\nhaz\u0131rlad\u0131klar\u0131 ter\u00f6r gruplar\u0131n\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcy\u00fcp de dengeleri zorlamalar\u0131 sonucu yine<br \/>\nayn\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7ler taraf\u0131ndan nas\u0131l bir kez daha yeniden kumanda edilmeye<br \/>\n\u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131na bir kez daha tan\u0131k olduk. Son y\u0131llarda bu bi\u00e7imde zemin sunulan<br \/>\nve DAI\u015e ad\u0131 verilen \u00e7ete yap\u0131lanmas\u0131n\u0131n b\u00f6lge ve d\u00fcnya dengelerini zorlayacak kadar<br \/>\ntehlikeli olmaya ba\u015flamas\u0131, s\u00f6z konusu g\u00fc\u00e7leri yeniden \u201cdurumu g\u00f6zden ge\u00e7irme<br \/>\ntoplant\u0131lar\u0131na sevk etti. Burada vurgulanmas\u0131 gereken d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fcr\u00fcc\u00fc boyut,<br \/>\nDAI\u015e\u2019in \u00f6nc\u00fcl\u00fc olan \u201cEl Kaide  projesinin esas akt\u00f6rleri olan ABD ve Suudi<br \/>\nArabistan\u2019\u0131n bu toplant\u0131larda \u201ckurtar\u0131c\u0131  rol\u00fcne soyunarak keskin ama bir o<br \/>\nkadar da yapay pozisyon almalar\u0131d\u0131r.<span>\u00a0<br \/>\n<\/span>\u00d6yle anla\u015f\u0131l\u0131yor ki yol kazas\u0131na u\u011frayan projeyi tekrardan y\u00f6nlendirme<br \/>\nve yap\u0131land\u0131rma aray\u0131\u015f\u0131ndad\u0131rlar. Bunu yaparken de kendi projeleri olan ve<br \/>\n\u015fimdi \u201c\u00f6c\u00fc  vazifesi g\u00f6ren DAI\u015e kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda herkesi kendilerinin \u00f6nc\u00fcl\u00fck etti\u011fi<br \/>\nbir ittifaka \u00e7ekmeyi ama\u00e7lamaktad\u0131rlar. B\u00f6ylece planlamalar\u0131ndaki sonraki<br \/>\nama\u00e7lar\u0131na ve de olu\u015fturduklar\u0131 yeni hedeflere yol alabilmeyi<br \/>\nd\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnmektedirler.<span>\u00a0 <\/span>Bunun i\u00e7in de<br \/>\nAmerikal\u0131 ve \u0130ngiliz 2-3 ki\u015finin \u2013ki s\u0131radan olmad\u0131klar\u0131 anla\u015f\u0131l\u0131yordu- kurban<br \/>\nverilmesi gerekiyordu. Irak ve Suriye\u2019de y\u00fczbinlerin \u00f6l\u00fcm, yaralanma ve g\u00f6\u00e7\u00fcne<br \/>\nneden olan ve kendi eserleri olan ter\u00f6r\u00fc sadece izlemekle yetinen bu g\u00fc\u00e7ler<br \/>\nkendilerinin zemin haz\u0131rlamas\u0131 sonucu birka\u00e7 vatanda\u015flar\u0131 \u00f6ld\u00fcr\u00fcl\u00fcnce hemen<br \/>\nseferberlik pozisyonuna ge\u00e7tiler.<\/p>\n<p class=\" \">Uluslar aras\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lerin g\u00f6zden ge\u00e7irdikleri yeni<br \/>\nkonseptlerinde neler var, kim i\u00e7in ne d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclm\u00fc\u015f ve hangi g\u00fc\u00e7ler nereye<br \/>\noturtulacak? Yeni d\u00f6nemin can al\u0131c\u0131 sorular\u0131 bunlar olmaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p class=\" \"><strong>\u201cPKK-DAI\u015e Sava\u015f\u0131 n\u0131n Derinle\u015ftirilmesi Ama\u00e7lan\u0131yor<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\" \">G\u00fcncelle\u015ftirilmi\u015f konsept i\u00e7erisinde DAI\u015e\u2019in yok edilmesi ya<br \/>\nda tasfiye edilmesi yer almamaktad\u0131r. Aksine kendilerince daha \u201cmakul  s\u0131n\u0131rlar<br \/>\ni\u00e7erisine \u00e7ekilmi\u015f ve dizayn edilmi\u015f bir DAI\u015e d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclmektedir. Suudi Arabistan<br \/>\nve Fransa\u2019daki resmi toplant\u0131lar ile perde gerisindeki gizli toplant\u0131larda<br \/>\nbunun y\u00f6ntemleri ve taktikleri belirlendi. Bas\u0131na yans\u0131t\u0131lan DAI\u015e\u2019in lojistik,<br \/>\nekonomik ve insan kaynaklar\u0131n\u0131n takibe al\u0131nmas\u0131 ve s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 hava operasyonlar\u0131<br \/>\nifadeleri, bu \u00e7ete yap\u0131lanmas\u0131na d\u00f6n\u00fck \u00f6ld\u00fcr\u00fcc\u00fc de\u011fil s\u0131n\u0131rland\u0131r\u0131c\u0131 ve kontrol<br \/>\nsa\u011flay\u0131c\u0131 bir y\u00f6nelimin olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6stermektedir. Nitekim pratikte ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen<br \/>\nde budur. Hatta bu g\u00fc\u00e7lerin \u00e7o\u011fu DAI\u015e\u2019i ter\u00f6rist dahi ilan etmi\u015f de\u011filler. <\/p>\n<p class=\" \">Yeni konseptin i\u00e7erisinde ku\u015fkusuz ana hedeflerden biri K\u00fcrt<br \/>\n\u00f6zg\u00fcrl\u00fck m\u00fccadelesidir. Bunun i\u00e7in birbirine kar\u015f\u0131t \u00e7ifte bir y\u00f6ntem<br \/>\nizlenmektedir. Bu y\u00f6ntem \u201cKuzey K\u00fcrdistan\u2019da \u2018\u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u2019, Bat\u0131 K\u00fcrdistan\u2019da \u2018DAI\u015e\u2019<br \/>\nform\u00fcl\u00fc  olarak adland\u0131r\u0131labilir. \u201c\u00c7\u00f6z\u00fcm \u00fcn kendi istedikleri hatta ilerlemesi<br \/>\ni\u00e7in DAI\u015e hep devrede tutulacak. Bu kendilerince DAI\u015e yoluyla \u201cterbiye  ve<br \/>\nkendi istedikleri k\u0131vama \u00e7ekme harekat\u0131 olarak da nitelendirilebilir. Bunun en<br \/>\n\u00e7arp\u0131c\u0131 g\u00f6stergesi, bir yandan Kuzey\u2019de \u201c\u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fcn somut yol haritas\u0131  telaffuz<br \/>\nedilirken hemen yan\u0131 s\u0131ra Koban\u00ea\u2019ye Suriye ve Irak\u2019\u0131n herhangi bir yerinde<br \/>\ng\u00f6r\u00fclmemi\u015f derecede bir DAI\u015e sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n e\u015flik et(tiril)mesidir. Bu bir<br \/>\nanlamda \u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc g\u00f6sterip s\u0131tmaya raz\u0131 etmektir ve T\u00fcrk devletinin arac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131yla<br \/>\ny\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fclen uluslara aras\u0131 bir konsept olmaktad\u0131r. \u0130\u015fin ilgin\u00e7 yan\u0131 ise bunun<br \/>\nbas\u0131n dilidir. Yani bir yandan K\u00fcrt \u00f6zg\u00fcrl\u00fck m\u00fccadelesine d\u00f6n\u00fck bu cendereye<br \/>\nalma siyaseti y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fcl\u00fcrken di\u011fer yandan da kendi g\u00fcd\u00fcmlerinde olan uluslar<br \/>\naras\u0131 bas\u0131n \u00fczerinden \u00f6vg\u00fcler d\u00fcz\u00fclmektedir. Bu \u00f6vg\u00fclerin, s\u00f6z konusu konseptin<br \/>\nbir manip\u00fclasyon \u00f6\u011fesi olmas\u0131 d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda hi\u00e7bir anlam\u0131 da yoktur. <\/p>\n<p class=\" \"><strong>TC\u2019ye Verilen \u201cArac\u0131  Rol\u00fcd\u00fcr<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\" \">T\u00fcrk devletinin arac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan bahsetmi\u015fken buna ili\u015fkin<br \/>\nverileri biraz daha a\u00e7makta fayda vard\u0131r. Asl\u0131nda ba\u015f\u0131ndan beri T\u00fcrkiye en<br \/>\nba\u015fta co\u011frafi olarak her a\u00e7\u0131dan DAI\u015e i\u00e7in bir arac\u0131 sahas\u0131 oldu ve bu g\u00f6zler<br \/>\n\u00f6n\u00fcnde cereyan etti. Fakat yeni d\u00f6neme b\u00f6yle girilemezdi. Bunun i\u00e7in baz\u0131<br \/>\n\u201cd\u00fczenlemeler  gerekiyordu. ABD D\u0131\u015f \u0130\u015fleri bakan\u0131 Kerry, DAI\u015e konusunda<br \/>\nT\u00fcrkiye\u2019den s\u00f6z ederken bu \u00fclkenin \u201cbaz\u0131 hassasiyetleri nden bahsetti. Bu ifade<br \/>\nT\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye yeni d\u00f6nemde verilecek rol ve bunun i\u00e7in g\u00f6sterilecek toleransa<br \/>\ni\u015faret ediyordu. Buna g\u00f6re T\u00fcrkiye arac\u0131 rol\u00fcn\u00fc s\u00fcrd\u00fcrecek fakat bunu deyim<br \/>\nyerindeyse daha \u201cusul\u00fcne uygun  yerine getirecekti. Bunun i\u00e7in birincisi s\u00f6zde<br \/>\nrehine meselesinin \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcmlenmesi gerekiyordu. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc bu taktik zamana\u015f\u0131m\u0131na<br \/>\nu\u011fruyordu. Daha fazla s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclmesi sergilenen tiyatroyu a\u00e7\u0131\u011fa \u00e7\u0131karabilirdi.<br \/>\nKoban\u00ea\u2019ye en a\u011f\u0131r sald\u0131r\u0131n\u0131n oldu\u011fu bir d\u00f6nemde s\u00f6z konusu s\u00f6zde rehinelerin<br \/>\nal\u0131konulduklar\u0131 Irak\u2019\u0131n Musul \u015fehrinden de\u011fil de Koban\u00ea\u2019ye hemen kom\u015fu olan<br \/>\nGir\u00ea Sp\u00ee (Til Ebyad) \u00fczerinden teslim edilmesi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fcr\u00fcc\u00fcd\u00fcr. \u0130kincisi TC\u2019nin<br \/>\ng\u00fcndeme koydu\u011fu Kuzey ile Rojava aras\u0131nda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclen \u201ctampon b\u00f6lge  konusudur.<br \/>\n\u00d6yle anla\u015f\u0131l\u0131yor ki bununla da hem Rojava\u2019ya d\u00f6n\u00fck ku\u015fatman\u0131n derinle\u015ftirilmesi<br \/>\nhem de DAI\u015e\u2019e olan insani ve maddi ak\u0131\u015f\u0131n \u201c\u00f6rt\u00fcl\u00fc  hale d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr\u00fclmesi<br \/>\nama\u00e7lanmaktad\u0131r. B\u00f6ylece daha \u00f6nceki a\u00e7\u0131ktan arac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n gizlenerek s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclmesi<br \/>\nhedeflenmektedir. Bunlar yap\u0131l\u0131rken T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin \u201chassasiyetleri  de elbette<br \/>\nd\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclmektedir. Bundan kas\u0131t, bu \u00fclkeden DAI\u015e saflar\u0131na kat\u0131lan binlerce ki\u015fi,<br \/>\nba\u015fta \u0130stanbul ve Ankara olmak \u00fczere y\u00fczlerce uyuyan selefi h\u00fccre, \u00f6nemli<br \/>\nsay\u0131labilecek bir kitle taban\u0131 vb kast edilmektedir. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc bunlar bir yere<br \/>\ny\u00f6nlendirilemezse ana h\u00fccreye y\u00f6neleceklerdir. <\/p>\n<p class=\" \"><strong>KDP Her Zamanki Gibi Truva At\u0131d\u0131r<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\" \">Geli\u015ftirilen son y\u00f6nelim i\u00e7erisinde KDP\u2019nin iki temel hedefi<br \/>\nbulunmaktad\u0131r. Birincisi her zamanki gibi Truva at\u0131 rol\u00fc oynayarak \u201ci\u00e7 te<br \/>\noynamad\u0131r. \u0130kincisi ba\u015fta \u015eengal olmak \u00fczere genel olarak u\u011frad\u0131\u011f\u0131 hezimeti<br \/>\natlatma ve kendisini temize \u00e7\u0131karmad\u0131r. Bu y\u00fczden KDP t\u00fcm organlar\u0131yla cani<br \/>\ng\u00f6n\u00fclden Koban\u00ea\u2019nin d\u00fc\u015fmesini dilemekte ve bunun i\u00e7in alttan alta<br \/>\n\u00e7al\u0131\u015fmaktad\u0131r. Rudaw kanal\u0131n\u0131n yay\u0131nlar\u0131 zaten ruh halini ele vermektedir.<br \/>\n\u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc Koban\u00ea d\u00fc\u015ferse KDP hemen \u015fu s\u00f6yleme sar\u0131lacakt\u0131r: \u201cBak\u0131n \u015eengal\u2019de<br \/>\nya\u015fananlar Koban\u00ea\u2019de de ya\u015fand\u0131. DAI\u015e\u2019in a\u011f\u0131r silahlar\u0131n\u0131n olmas\u0131, bizim de<br \/>\nbunlardan yoksun olmam\u0131z gibi s\u00f6yledi\u011fimiz nedenler do\u011fruydu. YPG de ayn\u0131<br \/>\nsorunlar\u0131 ya\u015fad\u0131. Bu y\u00fczden de ayn\u0131 durum ya\u015fand\u0131. <\/p>\n<p class=\" \">Pe\u015fi s\u0131ra da a\u011f\u0131r bir psikolojik bombard\u0131man\u0131 devreye<br \/>\nkoyacakt\u0131r. Zaten \u015fimdiden bunu yapmaktad\u0131r. K\u0131sacas\u0131 KDP, K\u00fcrt \u00f6zg\u00fcrl\u00fck<br \/>\nm\u00fccadelesi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan Koban\u00ea ile ba\u015flayan bir k\u0131r\u0131lmay\u0131 hayal etmekte ve<br \/>\nard\u0131ndan parsay\u0131 nas\u0131l toplayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 hesaplamaktad\u0131r. Hatta \u015fimdi bile DAI\u015e<br \/>\nkar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda esas direnen ve ba\u015far\u0131 sa\u011flayan g\u00fc\u00e7 K\u00fcrt \u00f6zg\u00fcrl\u00fck m\u00fccadelesi<br \/>\nolmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen KDP bunun kazan\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 kendi hanesine yazd\u0131rmak i\u00e7in olmad\u0131k<br \/>\nsiyasi ve diplomatik manevralar \u00e7izmektedir. <\/p>\n<p class=\" \"><strong>Yeni Y\u00f6nelimin Di\u011fer Hedefleri<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\" \">Uluslar aras\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lerin bu yeni planlamalarla hedefledikleri<br \/>\ndi\u011fer g\u00fc\u00e7ler \u0130ran ve Suriye\u2019dir. Belirtmek gerekir ki Musul\u2019un d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnden \u00f6nce<br \/>\nDAI\u015e\u2019in Suriye rejimine d\u00f6n\u00fck istisnalar hari\u00e7 bir y\u00f6nelimi yoktu. Ancak<br \/>\nMusul\u2019un d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fclmesinden sonra DAI\u015e-Suriye sava\u015f\u0131 da ba\u015flad\u0131. Bunda uluslar<br \/>\naras\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lerin rol\u00fcn\u00fc yads\u0131mamak gerekir. \u015eimdi de DAI\u015e bahane edilerek<br \/>\nSuriye\u2019ye bir m\u00fcdahale planlamas\u0131 geli\u015ftirilmek isteniyor. \u00dcstelik de Suriye\u2019de<br \/>\nama Suriye\u2019siz bir m\u00fcdahaleden s\u00f6z ediliyor. Buna en ba\u015fta kar\u015f\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kan \u00fclke de<br \/>\nRusya oldu. Elbette Rusya, b\u00f6ylesi bir m\u00fcdahalenin ana amac\u0131n\u0131n m\u00fcttefiki<br \/>\nSuriye rejimi oldu\u011funu bilmeyecek durumda de\u011fildir. <\/p>\n<p class=\" \">Yine ayn\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7ler \u0131srarla DAI\u015e\u2019e, G\u00fcney K\u00fcrdistan ya da Irak<br \/>\n\u00fczerinden \u0130ran\u2019a ula\u015facak bir koridor a\u00e7t\u0131rmay\u0131 ama\u00e7lad\u0131lar. Bununla da bir<br \/>\nDAI\u015e-\u0130ran sava\u015f\u0131 ba\u015flatmak istediler. \u0130ran buna kar\u015f\u0131 iki y\u00f6nl\u00fc bir tedbir<br \/>\nald\u0131. Birincisi zaten dolayl\u0131 yoldan DAI\u015e i\u00e7erisinde y\u00f6nlendirici unsurlar\u0131<br \/>\nvard\u0131 ve bunlar\u0131 kulland\u0131. \u0130kincisi de direk olarak Irak\u2019a asker g\u00f6nderdi ve<br \/>\nm\u00fcdahale etti. \u00d6zellikle de<span>\u00a0<br \/>\n<\/span>Xaneqin-Celawla hatt\u0131na m\u00fcdahale etti. Fakat s\u00f6z konusu g\u00fc\u00e7ler bu<br \/>\nama\u00e7lar\u0131ndan vazge\u00e7mi\u015f de\u011fil. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki s\u00fcre\u00e7te \u0130ran ya da Do\u011fu K\u00fcrdistan<br \/>\ntopraklar\u0131 i\u00e7erisindeki bir DAI\u015e hareketlili\u011fi beklenmelidir. <\/p>\n<p class=\" \">K\u00fcrdistan Stratejik Ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar Merkezi<\/p>\n<p class=\" \">www.navendalekolin.com &#8211; www.lekolin.org &#8211; www.lekolin.net \u2013<br \/>\nwww.lekolin.info<\/p>\n<p class=\" \"><\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p>\t<!-- parveke begin --><\/p>\n<div>\n<div class=\"sharethis-inline-share-buttons\"><\/div>\n<p><!-- parveke END -->\n<\/div><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p><b>  <\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":3269,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"jnews-multi-image_gallery":[],"jnews_single_post":[],"jnews_primary_category":[],"jnews_social_meta":[],"jnews_override_counter":[],"jnews_post_split":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[32,525,47,129,169,526,524,31,36,33,30,480,35,34,80],"class_list":["post-3268","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-politik-analiz","tag-arastirma","tag-direnisi","tag-in","tag-irak","tag-iran","tag-kaderi","tag-kobane","tag-kurdi","tag-kurdish","tag-kurdistan","tag-lekolin","tag-suriye","tag-turkish","tag-turkiye","tag-ve"],"acf":[],"post_mailing_queue_ids":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lekolin.org\/ku\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3268","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lekolin.org\/ku\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lekolin.org\/ku\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lekolin.org\/ku\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lekolin.org\/ku\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3268"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/lekolin.org\/ku\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3268\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lekolin.org\/ku\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/3269"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lekolin.org\/ku\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3268"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lekolin.org\/ku\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3268"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lekolin.org\/ku\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3268"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}