{"id":3178,"date":"2020-03-15T00:48:51","date_gmt":"2020-03-14T21:48:51","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/lekolin.org\/ortadoguda-siyasi-labirentler-ve-dolayli-stratejiler\/"},"modified":"2020-03-15T00:48:51","modified_gmt":"2020-03-14T21:48:51","slug":"ortadoguda-siyasi-labirentler-ve-dolayli-stratejiler","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lekolin.org\/ku\/ortadoguda-siyasi-labirentler-ve-dolayli-stratejiler\/","title":{"rendered":"ORTADO\u011eU\u2019DA S\u0130YAS\u0130 LAB\u0130RENTLER VE DOLAYLI STRATEJ\u0130LER"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>26 Temmuz 2014 Cumartesi Saat 07:49<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<div class=\"detail content_14\" id=\"text_detail\">\n<div class=\"newsImage\">\n<b>Ortado\u011fu\u2019daki geli\u015fmeler bilinen siyasi mant\u0131k kurallar\u0131yla ele al\u0131n\u0131rsa rahatl\u0131kla yan\u0131lg\u0131ya d\u00fc\u015f\u00fclebilir. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc uluslararas\u0131 ve b\u00f6lgesel g\u00fc\u00e7ler siyasi taktik ve oyunlar\u0131n\u0131 her zamankinden daha fazla \u00e7etrefilli labirentlerde kurmaktad\u0131rlar<\/b><\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/lekolin.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/3656-1.jpg\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\t<strong><font size=\"3\"><br \/>\n<\/font><\/strong><font face=\" \" size=\"3\"><font face=\" \" size=\"3\"><\/p>\n<p>B\u00f6lgemizde son bir ayd\u0131r ya\u015fanan geli\u015fmeler \u00f6nemli bir k\u0131r\u0131lmaya i\u015faret ediyor. S\u00f6z\u00fc edilen S\u00fcnniler ile \u015eiiler aras\u0131nda \u00f6zellikle Musul\u2019un d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyle daha da derinle\u015fen fay hatt\u0131d\u0131r. Asl\u0131nda bu fay, tarihidir ve Mezopotamya co\u011frafyas\u0131nda \u0130slamiyet\u2019ten bu yana b\u00fcy\u00fck siyasi sorunlar\u0131n ve sava\u015flar\u0131n ya gerek\u00e7esi ya da \u00fczerinde oynanan zemini durumundad\u0131r. K\u00fcrtler de aradaki g\u00fc\u00e7 olarak bu \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalardan \u00e7o\u011fu zaman etkilenmi\u015flerdir. 16. Y\u00fczy\u0131l\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131ndaki S\u00fcnni Osmanl\u0131 ve \u015eii Safevi sava\u015f\u0131, 1639 Kasr-\u0131 \u015eirin antla\u015fmas\u0131yla K\u00fcrdistan\u2019\u0131n iki g\u00fc\u00e7 aras\u0131nda b\u00f6l\u00fcnmesi, 20. Y\u00fczy\u0131l\u0131n son \u00e7eyre\u011findeki \u0130ran-Irak sava\u015f\u0131 ve daha pek \u00e7ok lokal \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma ve \u00e7eli\u015fkilerde arada kalan hep K\u00fcrtler olmu\u015ftur. Siyasi akt\u00f6rler, hesaplar ve ko\u015fullar farkl\u0131 olsa da \u015fimdi de benzeri bir durum vard\u0131r. An itibar\u0131yla sald\u0131r\u0131 alt\u0131nda olan Koban\u00ea ve Kerk\u00fbk, K\u00fcrtlerin bu durumunu simgelemektedir. Elbette burada mesele S\u00fcnnilik ya da \u015eiilik de\u011fildir. Sorun bu mezheplerin iktidar odaklar\u0131nca birer ideolojik ve siyasi \u201cme\u015fruluk  z\u0131rh\u0131 yap\u0131lmalar\u0131n\u0131n yan\u0131 s\u0131ra kitleler \u00fczerinde bir taassup ve bask\u0131 arac\u0131 olarak da kullan\u0131lmalar\u0131d\u0131r. Mevcut durumda sahnede g\u00f6r\u00fcnen El Kaide, DA\u0130\u015e, El Nusra, Hizbullah, Hamas ve daha nice \u00f6rg\u00fct de bu siyasetlerin ara\u00e7lar\u0131 durumundad\u0131rlar. <\/p>\n<p><strong><\/p>\n<p>Bug\u00fcne Nas\u0131l Gelindi?<\/p>\n<p><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Ortado\u011fu\u2019daki geli\u015fmeler bilinen siyasi mant\u0131k kurallar\u0131yla ele al\u0131n\u0131rsa rahatl\u0131kla yan\u0131lg\u0131ya d\u00fc\u015f\u00fclebilir. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc uluslararas\u0131 ve b\u00f6lgesel g\u00fc\u00e7ler siyasi taktik ve oyunlar\u0131n\u0131 her zamankinden daha fazla \u00e7etrefilli labirentlerde kurmaktad\u0131rlar. \u00c7o\u011fu zaman da hesap hatalar\u0131na d\u00fc\u015ferek siyasi faturalar \u00f6demekte ya da hesaplar\u0131n\u0131 yeni ba\u015ftan g\u00f6zden ge\u00e7irmek durumunda kalmaktad\u0131rlar. ABD ve di\u011fer g\u00fc\u00e7ler, Irak\u2019\u0131 yeniden dizayn ederken herhalde yan\u0131 ba\u015f\u0131ndaki Suriye\u2019yi ve bir g\u00fcn bu \u00fclkede olabileceklerin etkisini \u00f6ng\u00f6remediler. Veyahut \u015fimdiki b\u00f6lgesel geli\u015fmeleri kestiremediler. \u201cMa\u011fdur  \u015eiileri ba\u015fa, \u201cma\u011flup  S\u00fcnnileri tali plana, \u201cmakul  K\u00fcrtleri de ortaya yani denge unsuru olarak oturttular. 2003\u2019ten 2011-2012 y\u0131llar\u0131na kadar durumu b\u00f6yle idare eden ve nispeten stabil bir durum yaratan bu g\u00fc\u00e7ler, kendi sermaye odaklar\u0131na hammadde ak\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flad\u0131lar. Fakat 2011\u2019de ba\u015flayan b\u00f6lgesel deprem Irak\u2019\u0131 da sarsmaya ba\u015flad\u0131. \u0130ran ile ABD alttan alta Irak\u2019ta bir hegemonya m\u00fccadelesi y\u00fcr\u00fctt\u00fcler. Ma\u011flup S\u00fcnniler ise bu sefer ma\u011fdur olma duygular\u0131yla git gide daha fazla \u00f6rg\u00fctlenip hareketlendiler. \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n Maliki ve \u015eiiler \u00fczerinden bask\u0131y\u0131 g\u00fcnden g\u00fcne art\u0131rmas\u0131 ve dolayl\u0131 tahrikleri de buna zemin oldu. Neticede S\u00fcnnilerin \u00f6nemli siyasi fig\u00fcrlerinden Tar\u0131k Ha\u015fimi \u00fclkeden ka\u00e7t\u0131 ya da ka\u00e7\u0131rt\u0131ld\u0131. Aradan fazla zaman ge\u00e7meden \u00fclkenin cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 ve \u201cdenge  unsuru Celal Talabani de, \u015eii-S\u00fcnni gerilimine dayanamayarak fel\u00e7 ge\u00e7irdi. Zaten son y\u0131llar, iki mezhep ve siyasi taraf aras\u0131nda kendilerini kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131kl\u0131 olarak birbirlerinde patlatmayla ge\u00e7ti. Son Irak se\u00e7imlerinde Maliki\u2019nin tekrardan kazanmas\u0131 ve siyasetlerinde diretece\u011fi mesajlar\u0131n\u0131 vermesi, var olan hassas ba\u011flar\u0131 da kopard\u0131. B\u00f6ylece \u00fclkenin g\u00fcneyinde Ambar eyaleti ve Felluce\u2019deki isyan b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc. Ama onun \u00e7ok \u00f6ncesinde El Kaide\u2019den kopan ya da kopar\u0131lan ve kendine \u201cIrak \u0130slam Devleti  ad\u0131n\u0131 veren \u00f6rg\u00fct Suriye\u2019de, bu \u00fclkeyi de planlamalar\u0131na katarak \u201cIrak ve \u015eam \u0130slam Devleti (I\u015e\u0130D)  (Arap\u00e7a k\u0131saltmas\u0131 DA\u0130\u015e) olarak d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr\u00fcld\u00fc. Suriye\u2019ye ka\u00e7an Saddam art\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131n hakim renk oldu\u011fu bu olu\u015fumun i\u00e7ine \u0130ran ve Suriye rejimleri de kendi renklerini katt\u0131lar. Ser\u00eakaniy\u00ea\u2019deki \u00e7ete sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131 ba\u015flay\u0131nca T\u00fcrkiye de, K\u00fcrdistan \u00d6zg\u00fcrl\u00fck Hareketi\u2019ne kar\u015f\u0131 bu olu\u015fuma olan deste\u011fini daha da art\u0131rd\u0131. Amerika ve Avrupa \u00fclkeleri zaten \u00f6teden beri dolayl\u0131 stratejilerle bu \u00f6rg\u00fctlerde yer edindiler ve bunu daha \u00e7ok ba\u015fta Suudi Arabistan olmak \u00fczere K\u00f6rfez \u00fclkeleri ve \u00dcrd\u00fcn \u00fczerinden ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdiler. Bir\u00e7ok g\u00fcc\u00fcn elini kar\u0131\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131 sonucu ba\u015fta DA\u0130\u015e olmak \u00fczere di\u011fer t\u00fcm s\u00f6zde cihat\u00e7\u0131 gruplar neredeyse g\u00fcnl\u00fck olarak b\u00f6l\u00fcn\u00fcp par\u00e7aland\u0131lar ve her g\u00fcn yeni ittifak ve olu\u015fumlara gittiler. \u00d6rne\u011fin Cebhet el Nusra ile DA\u0130\u015e ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7ta neredeyse t\u00fcm\u00fcyle ayn\u0131 cephedeyken \u0130ran ile T\u00fcrkiye ve Bat\u0131l\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7ler aras\u0131ndaki m\u00fccadeleden sonra ayr\u0131\u015ft\u0131lar ve birbirleriyle sava\u015fmaya ba\u015flad\u0131lar. \u0130ran ve Suriye rejimi di\u011fer \u00e7ete gruplar\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 dolayl\u0131 stratejiyle DA\u0130\u015e\u2019in belli kesimlerini y\u00f6nlendirirken, T\u00fcrkiye de Rojava K\u00fcrdistan\u0131\u2019nda \u00d6zg\u00fcrl\u00fck Hareketinin etkisini k\u0131rmak i\u00e7in direk destekledi. \u0130ran ve Suriye de DA\u0130\u015e \u00e7ete grubunu sadece di\u011fer \u00e7ete gruplar\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 y\u00f6nlendirmedi. Ayn\u0131 zamanda Rojava\u2019da K\u00fcrt halk\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 da kulland\u0131, kullan\u0131yor. B\u00f6ylece birbirlerine z\u0131t ama\u00e7lar\u0131 olan T\u00fcrkiye ile Suriye-\u0130ran ittifak\u0131, mesele K\u00fcrtler olunca z\u0131mnen bulu\u015ftular. KDP de bu tablonun temel bile\u015fenlerinden biri durumundad\u0131r. Genelde t\u00fcm Rojava\u2019da ama bug\u00fcn Koban\u00ea\u2019de ya\u015fanan yo\u011fun sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n bir ifadesi de budur. <\/p>\n<p><strong><\/p>\n<p>Irak\u2019ta S\u00fcnni-DA\u0130\u015e Bulu\u015f(turul)mas\u0131<\/p>\n<p><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Suriye\u2019deki gruplardan en fanatik ve en sald\u0131rgan olan\u0131 DA\u0130\u015e, Irak\u2019taki b\u00fcy\u00fck S\u00fcnni rahats\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve isyan potansiyelini g\u00f6rmekte ve kullanmakta gecikmedi. Zaten buna haz\u0131r olan S\u00fcnni kesimler de (buna S\u00fcnni vali, y\u00f6netici, komutan ve askerler de dahil) DA\u0130\u015e ile bulu\u015fmakta gecikmeyince Felluce\u2019den ba\u015flayan deprem Musul\u2019un d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyle zirveye vurdu. <\/p>\n<p><strong><\/p>\n<p>\u0130ran Stratejileri<\/p>\n<p><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Ba\u015fka bir bak\u0131\u015f a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131yla yakla\u015f\u0131rsak \u00fczerindeki bo\u011fucu ambargo ve y\u00f6nelimleri, hep \u00f6n cepheleri kullanarak bo\u015fa \u00e7\u0131karmak gibi ustal\u0131kl\u0131 bir strateji izleyen \u0130ran, son y\u0131llardaki ambargoya kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k olarak Irak, Suriye, L\u00fcbnan ve Filistin sahalar\u0131n\u0131 kullanarak bo\u015fa \u00e7\u0131karmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Irak\u2019ta \u015eii Maliki y\u00f6netimini y\u00f6nlendirip onun arac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131yla S\u00fcnnileri s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131r\u0131p tahrik etti ve DA\u0130\u015e\u2019in kuca\u011f\u0131na att\u0131 (yeri gelmi\u015fken \u0130ran DA\u0130\u015e\u2019i direk de\u011fil dolayl\u0131 stratejiyle y\u00f6nlendirmektedir). Suriye\u2019de rejimi ayakta tutarak Bat\u0131l\u0131 \u00fclkelerin planlar\u0131n\u0131 bo\u015fa \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131 ve \u00e7ete gruplar\u0131n\u0131n da aras\u0131na s\u0131zarak kaosu derinle\u015ftirdi. L\u00fcbnan\u2019dan Hizbullah\u2019\u0131 getirterek Suriye\u2019de sava\u015ft\u0131rd\u0131. Son olarak da Hamas arac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131yla \u0130srail\u2019i tahrik ederek Filistin\u2019e s\u00fcrd\u00fc. B\u00f6ylece \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131 do\u011frultusunda g\u00fcndemi ve \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n y\u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc de kayd\u0131rabildi\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015f oldu. \u0130ran ba\u015fl\u0131ca \u00fc\u00e7 nedenden dolay\u0131 \u0130srail\u2019i tahrik etti: Birincisi, dikkatleri S\u00fcnni Gazze halk\u0131 \u00fczerindeki \u0130srail katliamlar\u0131na y\u00f6nelterek \u015eii Irak y\u00f6netimi \u00fczerindeki S\u00fcnni bas\u0131nc\u0131 azaltmak ve g\u00fcndemi oraya kayd\u0131rmak. \u0130kincisi, \u0130srail\u2019in Suriye\u2019deki durumdan (ve Hizbullah\u2019\u0131n kay\u0131plar\u0131ndan) daha fazla keyif almas\u0131na son vermek ve \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fcs\u00fc \u0130srail\u2019in Mesut Barzani\u2019nin ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131k a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131na olan deste\u011fini cezaland\u0131rmak\u2026<\/p>\n<p><strong><\/p>\n<p>\u0130ran Stratejileri kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131ndaki ABD<\/p>\n<p><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u00d6n bah\u00e7eleri ya da cepheleri ustal\u0131kl\u0131 kullanarak siyasetlerini \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde bo\u015fa \u00e7\u0131karan \u0130ran kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda geri ad\u0131m atmak durumunda kalan ABD ve di\u011fer Bat\u0131l\u0131 \u00fclkeler onunla ili\u015fkilenmeyi daha do\u011fru bir yakla\u015f\u0131m olarak de\u011ferlendirdiler. Hatta son geli\u015fmelerden sonra ABD Irak\u2019ta, \u0130ran ile i\u015fbirli\u011fi dahi yapabilece\u011finin i\u015faretlerini verdi. \u0130ngiltere de Tahran\u2019da tekrardan b\u00fcy\u00fckel\u00e7ili\u011fini a\u00e7ma haz\u0131rl\u0131klar\u0131na ba\u015flad\u0131. B\u00f6ylece \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n istese \u201cOrtado\u011fu\u2019yu ve Irak\u2019\u0131 derin bir krize s\u00fcr\u00fckleyerek onlar\u0131n t\u00fcm ekonomik ve siyasi hesaplar\u0131n\u0131 alt \u00fcst edebilece\u011fi  mesaj\u0131n\u0131 iyi alg\u0131layan ABD ve di\u011fer Bat\u0131l\u0131 \u00fclkeler, onunla i\u015fbirli\u011fine yana\u015ft\u0131lar. Hatta gelinen durum Irak\u2019\u0131n par\u00e7alanma riskini en \u00fcst d\u00fczeye kadar \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131 ve ABD ile m\u00fcttefikleri buna haz\u0131r de\u011filler. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc Irak\u2019tan ba\u015flayacak bir kriz ve par\u00e7alanman\u0131n nerede bitece\u011fi hi\u00e7 belli olmaz. Hele yan\u0131 ba\u015f\u0131nda i\u00e7 sava\u015f ya\u015fayan Suriye, biti\u015fi\u011finde L\u00fcbnan ve yine biti\u015fi\u011finde barut f\u0131\u00e7\u0131s\u0131 \u0130srail ile Filistin ve en genel anlam\u0131yla da kaynayan Ortado\u011fu dururken\u2026 Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla ABD tekrardan Irak\u2019\u0131 toparlayarak \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n etkisini s\u0131n\u0131rlamay\u0131 ama\u00e7l\u0131yor. Bu y\u00fczden boyuna Irak\u2019\u0131n b\u00fct\u00fcnl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc ve siyasi istikrar\u0131n\u0131 vurguluyor. Ama t\u00fcm i\u015faretler k\u00f6pr\u00fcn\u00fcn alt\u0131ndan fazlas\u0131yla su akt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n<p><strong><\/p>\n<p>Ve K\u00fcrdistan<\/p>\n<p><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>T\u00fcm bu uluslararas\u0131 ve b\u00f6lgesel geli\u015fmeler birebir K\u00fcrdistan\u2019\u0131 da etkilemektedir. Elbette K\u00fcrdistan derken farkl\u0131 devletlerin i\u015fgalleri alt\u0131nda farkl\u0131 siyasi ve k\u00fclt\u00fcrel s\u00fcre\u00e7ler dayat\u0131lm\u0131\u015f ve bir\u00e7ok siyasal e\u011filimin boy verdi\u011fi bir \u00fclke ger\u00e7ekli\u011fini g\u00f6rmemiz gerekir. Ama b\u00f6lgeye dayat\u0131lm\u0131\u015f en az y\u00fczy\u0131ll\u0131k bir sistem \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcl\u00fcrken K\u00fcrdistan halk\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan da tarihi imkanlar olu\u015fmaktad\u0131r. Bu geni\u015f co\u011frafya ve olu\u015fan yeni ko\u015fullar i\u00e7erisinde ba\u015fl\u0131ca \u00fc\u00e7 g\u00fc\u00e7 ya da akt\u00f6r \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kmaktad\u0131r. PKK, KDP ve YNK (YNK\u2019den t\u00fcreme Goran da belirtilebilir). PKK, demin s\u00f6z\u00fc edilen y\u00fczy\u0131ll\u0131k tahribat\u0131 ve i\u015fgali sona erdirerek bir toplumsal \u00f6zg\u00fcrl\u00fck ve b\u00fct\u00fcnle\u015ftirme stratejisini d\u00f6rt par\u00e7ada pratikle\u015ftirirken KDP ise tam aksi bir tutumla ve t\u00fcm\u00fcyle elit bir \u00e7evrenin dar siyasi ve ekonomik hesaplar\u0131yla par\u00e7alamay\u0131 derinle\u015ftirme i\u00e7erisindedir. YNK ise olu\u015fan geni\u015f imkanlara ra\u011fmen \u00e7ok ba\u015fl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 nedeniyle farkl\u0131 siyasi g\u00fc\u00e7ler aras\u0131nda bocalama ve siyasi tercih sorunlar\u0131 ya\u015famaktad\u0131r. <\/p>\n<p><strong><\/p>\n<p>KDP \u2013 DA\u0130\u015e \u0130\u015fbirli\u011fi<\/p>\n<p><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Son geli\u015fmelerden azami bir bi\u00e7imde, dar \u00e7\u0131karc\u0131 ve hi\u00e7bir ilke g\u00f6zetmeden yararlanmak isteyen g\u00fc\u00e7 de KDP\u2019dir. KDP \u00fc\u00e7 cephede DA\u0130\u015e ile i\u015fbirli\u011fi i\u00e7indedir: <\/p>\n<p>Birincisi, KDP son geli\u015fmelerle birlikte YNK\u2019nin G\u00fcney K\u00fcrdistan\u2019\u0131n \u00f6zellikle Kerk\u00fck ve Germiyan alanlar\u0131ndaki y\u00fckseli\u015fini hazmedememektedir. Bunun i\u00e7in DA\u0130\u015e\u2019in YNK\u2019ye d\u00f6n\u00fck sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131nda gizli pay sahibidir. Zaten bu durum Xaneqin sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc. DA\u0130\u015e\u2019in YNK\u2019ye yo\u011fun sald\u0131r\u0131rken KDP\u2019ye yakla\u015fmamas\u0131 da net bir durumdur. Musul\u2019u kendi elleriyle DA\u0130\u015e\u2019e ve Baas\u00e7\u0131lara veren Musul valisi Nuceyfi\u2019nin, ard\u0131ndan y\u00fcz milyonlarca dolar ile Hewl\u00ear\u2019in yolunu tutmas\u0131, ayn\u0131 g\u00fcn KDP\u2019nin de Musul\u2019u bo\u015faltmas\u0131 ve on binlerce K\u00fcrd\u00fcn de g\u00f6\u00e7 etmesine sebebiyet vermesi a\u00e7\u0131k bilinen durumlard\u0131r. Yine Musul\u2019un k\u0131rsal\u0131ndaki \u00caz\u00eed\u00ee ve \u015eebek K\u00fcrtleri de KDP\u2019nin bu e\u011freti duru\u015fundan olduk\u00e7a kayg\u0131l\u0131d\u0131rlar.<\/p>\n<p>\u0130kincisi KDP, K\u00fcrdistan \u00d6zg\u00fcrl\u00fck Hareketi kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda Bat\u0131 K\u00fcrdistan\u2019da art\u0131k neredeyse a\u00e7\u0131ktan DA\u0130\u015e destek\u00e7ili\u011fi yapmaktad\u0131r. Rojava\u2019da DA\u0130\u015e \u00e7ete saflar\u0131nda sava\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lan G\u00fcneyli gen\u00e7lerin oran\u0131 her ge\u00e7en g\u00fcn daha da artmaktad\u0131r. Sava\u015f sahas\u0131ndan yay\u0131lan bilgiler, Hewl\u00ear camilerinden baz\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n DA\u0130\u015e\u2019e kat\u0131l\u0131m merkezlerine d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a ortaya koymaktad\u0131r. Yine KDP, Rojava\u2019ya d\u00f6n\u00fck en s\u0131k\u0131 ambargoyu uygulayarak sava\u015fta DA\u0130\u015e\u2019den taraf oldu\u011funu a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a g\u00f6stermi\u015ftir. Yan\u0131 s\u0131ra Rojava\u2019n\u0131n ba\u015fta Am\u00fbd\u00ea ve Tirbespiy\u00ea kentlerinde olmak \u00fczere bir\u00e7ok merkezde gizli \u00f6rg\u00fctlenmelerle hem DA\u0130\u015e\u2019e zemin haz\u0131rlamakta, hem baz\u0131 vurucu eylemleri organize etmekte, hem de \u00f6zel sava\u015f uygulamalar\u0131yla provokatif giri\u015fimlerde bulunmaktad\u0131r. Yine kendi bas\u0131n yay\u0131n organlar\u0131 arac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131yla g\u00fcnl\u00fck olarak kar\u015f\u0131t psikolojik harekat geli\u015ftirmektedir. \u00d6rne\u011fin Koban\u00ea yo\u011fun sald\u0131r\u0131 alt\u0131ndayken KDP\u2019ye ba\u011fl\u0131 Rudaw\u2019\u0131n Avrupa Kurmanci bask\u0131s\u0131, \u201cDA\u0130\u015e Koban\u00ea kap\u0131s\u0131na dayand\u0131  gibi bir man\u015fetle temennisini a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a ortaya koymaktad\u0131r. <\/p>\n<p>\u00dc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fcs\u00fc de Maliki ile ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131 iktidar ve maddiyat kavgalar\u0131 nedeniyle a\u00e7\u0131ktan DA\u0130\u015e ve eski Baas\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131 desteklemektedir. Bu Musul\u2019da bariz g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc. Bu y\u00f6n\u00fcyle KDP kendi dar ailesel \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131 i\u00e7in, S\u00fcnnilerin saf\u0131nda yer alarak kontrol\u00fc alt\u0131ndaki alanlarda ya\u015fayan halk\u0131 mezhep \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n\u0131n kanl\u0131 ortam\u0131na s\u00fcr\u00fcklemektedir. <\/p>\n<p><strong><\/p>\n<p>\u201cBa\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z K\u00fcrdistan  S\u00f6ylemleri \u00dczerine<\/p>\n<p><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u00d6te yandan KDP, ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131 siyasi ve ekonomik krizi, g\u00f6zlerden uzak tutmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmaktad\u0131r. Her \u015feyden \u00f6nce S\u00fcnnilerin ve DA\u0130\u015e\u2019in cephesinde yer alarak stratejik bir hata yapm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. \u0130kincisi, gelece\u011fini T\u00fcrk devleti ve \u0130srail\u2019in ipote\u011fine vermi\u015ftir. \u0130zledi\u011fi petrol politikas\u0131 ba\u015ftan iflas etmi\u015ftir. \u0130\u00e7te ekonomik bir kriz ya\u015famaktad\u0131r ve bu her g\u00fcn ekranlara da yans\u0131maktad\u0131r. Denetimindeki alanlarda tam bir k\u00fclt\u00fcrel ve sosyal tahribat geli\u015ftirmi\u015ftir. T\u00fcm bu kriz durumuna ra\u011fmen KDP deyim yerindeyse imaja oynamakta ve \u201cBa\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z K\u00fcrdistan  s\u00f6ylemini g\u00fcndemle\u015ftirmektedir. Elbette bu konuda K\u00fcrt halk\u0131na d\u00f6n\u00fck bir duygu s\u00f6m\u00fcr\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fc ama\u00e7lamaktad\u0131r. Her \u015feyden \u00f6nce KDP bu konuda i\u00e7ten bir tutum sahibi de\u011fildir. Bir taraftan YNK\u2019nin, di\u011fer taraftan PKK ve Rojava\u2019n\u0131n ve di\u011fer K\u00fcrdistani g\u00fc\u00e7lerin ard\u0131ndan kuyular kazarak, Ulusal Kongreyi sabote ederek ve K\u00fcrt halk\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fmanlar\u0131yla i\u015fbirli\u011fi geli\u015ftirerek Ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z K\u00fcrdistan nas\u0131l kurulabilir? \u0130kincisi, i\u00e7i T\u00fcrkiye ve \u0130srail, d\u0131\u015f\u0131 K\u00fcrdistan g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcml\u00fc olan bir yap\u0131ya kim inan\u0131r? \u00dc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fcs\u00fc, bu konuda bel ba\u011flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ABD dahi bu s\u00f6yleme s\u0131cak bakmamaktad\u0131r. Elbette, \u00d6zg\u00fcr ve Ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z bir K\u00fcrdistan her yurtsever K\u00fcrd\u00fcn dile\u011fidir. Ama bunu ger\u00e7ekten ya\u015famsalla\u015ft\u0131rmak var bir de bunu s\u00f6m\u00fcrerek siyasi ama\u00e7lara alet etmek\u2026 Esasta ise \u00f6zg\u00fcrl\u00fck ve ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n temel \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fct\u00fc ve samimi tutumu bug\u00fcn Rojava ve an itibar\u0131yla Koban\u00ea\u2019dir. Bunun kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131ndaki tutum her \u015feyi belirler. \u00d6tesinin \u00f6zl\u00fc bir yakla\u015f\u0131mla hi\u00e7bir alakas\u0131 yoktur. <\/p>\n<p><strong><\/p>\n<p>\u0130stisna Olursa\u2026<\/p>\n<p><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>T\u00fcm bu durumlara ra\u011fmen istisnai ko\u015fullar ve durumlar olup da KDP\u2019ye k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck bir ulus devlet\u00e7ik kurdurulursa bundan \u015fu anlam \u00e7\u0131kar: B\u00fcy\u00fck K\u00fcrdistan\u2019\u0131n KDP denetimindeki k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck bir ulus devlet\u00e7i\u011fe hapsedilmesi ama\u00e7lanmaktad\u0131r. Yan\u0131 s\u0131ra KDP\u2019nin \u00f6n\u00fcne K\u00fcrdistan \u00d6zg\u00fcrl\u00fck Hareketi ve projesinin tasfiyesi konmu\u015ftur. Yine olu\u015fturulacak ulus devlet\u00e7ik ilgili g\u00fc\u00e7lerce b\u00f6lgesel \u00e7\u0131karlar i\u00e7in kullan\u0131lacakt\u0131r. <\/p>\n<p><strong><\/p>\n<p>Koban\u00ea\u2019ye Sald\u0131r\u0131 K\u00fcrdistan \u00d6zg\u00fcrl\u00fck Hareketine Sald\u0131r\u0131d\u0131r<\/p>\n<p><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Zaten mevcut durumda Rojava\u2019da bu durum g\u00fcnl\u00fck olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir. Rojava d\u00f6rt bir taraftan ve her cepheden bir sald\u0131r\u0131 alt\u0131ndad\u0131r. Bunlar askeri, ekonomik, siyasi, diplomatik ve psikolojik sald\u0131r\u0131lard\u0131r. Kar\u015f\u0131 cephede ise geni\u015f bir g\u00fc\u00e7 yelpazesi vard\u0131r. Bunun en yo\u011fun ya\u015fand\u0131\u011f\u0131 yer de an itibar\u0131yla Koban\u00ea\u2019dir. Burada ama\u00e7 salt Koban\u00ea de\u011fildir elbette. Koban\u00ea bir ilk halka olarak d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclmekte pe\u015finden de di\u011fer kantonlar ve buradan sa\u011flanacak psikolojik \u00fcst\u00fcnl\u00fckle sava\u015f\u0131n Kuzey K\u00fcrdistan\u2019a ta\u015f\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 ve nihayetinde K\u00fcrdistan \u00d6zg\u00fcrl\u00fck Hareketi\u2019nin zay\u0131flat\u0131lmas\u0131 hedeflenmektedir. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla K\u00fcrdistani t\u00fcm yurtsever g\u00fc\u00e7lerin tarihin \u015fu \u00f6nemli kesitindeki hassasiyeti fark ederek acilen bir ulusal platforma gitmeleri, Ulusal Kongreyi ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmeleri ve ulusal bir strateji \u00e7izmeleri tarihi bir g\u00f6rev durumundad\u0131r. <\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p>Akif Roj<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p>K\u00fcrdistan Stratejik Ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar Merkezi<\/p>\n<p><\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/lekolin.org\/www.lekolin.org\"><u><font color=\"#0000ff\" face=\" \" size=\"3\"><font color=\"#0000ff\" face=\" \" size=\"3\"><font color=\"#0000ff\" face=\" \" size=\"3\">www.lekolin.org<\/font><\/font><\/font><\/u><\/a><font face=\" \" size=\"3\"><font face=\" \" size=\"3\"> &#8211; <\/font><\/font><a href=\"http:\/\/lekolin.org\/www.navendalekolin.com\"><u><font color=\"#0000ff\" face=\" \" size=\"3\"><font color=\"#0000ff\" face=\" \" size=\"3\"><font color=\"#0000ff\" face=\" \" size=\"3\">www.navendalekolin.com<\/font><\/font><\/font><\/u><\/a><font face=\" \" size=\"3\"><font face=\" \" size=\"3\"> &#8211; <\/font><\/font><a href=\"http:\/\/lekolin.org\/www.lekolin.net\"><u><font color=\"#0000ff\" face=\" \" size=\"3\"><font color=\"#0000ff\" face=\" \" size=\"3\"><font color=\"#0000ff\" face=\" \" size=\"3\">www.lekolin.net<\/font><\/font><\/font><\/u><\/a><font face=\" \" size=\"3\"><font face=\" \" size=\"3\"> \u2013 <\/font><\/font><a href=\"http:\/\/lekolin.org\/www.lekolin.info\"><u><font color=\"#0000ff\" face=\" \" size=\"3\"><font color=\"#0000ff\" face=\" \" size=\"3\"><font color=\"#0000ff\" face=\" \" size=\"3\">www.lekolin.info<\/font><\/font><\/font><\/u><\/a><\/p>\n<p>\t<!-- parveke begin --><\/p>\n<div>\n<div class=\"sharethis-inline-share-buttons\"><\/div>\n<p><!-- parveke END -->\n<\/div><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p><b>Ortado\u011fu\u2019daki geli\u015fmeler bilinen siyasi mant\u0131k kurallar\u0131yla ele al\u0131n\u0131rsa rahatl\u0131kla yan\u0131lg\u0131ya d\u00fc\u015f\u00fclebilir. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc uluslararas\u0131 ve b\u00f6lgesel g\u00fc\u00e7ler siyasi taktik ve oyunlar\u0131n\u0131 her zamankinden daha fazla \u00e7etrefilli labirentlerde kurmaktad\u0131rlar<\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":3179,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"jnews-multi-image_gallery":[],"jnews_single_post":[],"jnews_primary_category":[],"jnews_social_meta":[],"jnews_override_counter":[],"jnews_post_split":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[32,31,36,33,30,492,35,34],"class_list":["post-3178","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-politik-analiz","tag-arastirma","tag-kurdi","tag-kurdish","tag-kurdistan","tag-lekolin","tag-ortadogu","tag-turkish","tag-turkiye"],"acf":[],"post_mailing_queue_ids":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lekolin.org\/ku\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3178","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lekolin.org\/ku\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lekolin.org\/ku\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lekolin.org\/ku\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lekolin.org\/ku\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3178"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/lekolin.org\/ku\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3178\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lekolin.org\/ku\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/3179"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lekolin.org\/ku\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3178"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lekolin.org\/ku\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3178"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lekolin.org\/ku\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3178"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}